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Basketball
Ruby $250 WARM
Peak 7d
-1.9%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
35.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -21.3% to -1.9%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
7.41%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$209
0.83× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 78% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $250 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Stephen Curry
Grail
2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · psa 9.0
$8,761
35.05×
—
0.030%
$2.63
5d
2
Nikola Jokic
Grail
2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0
$6,699
26.80×
—
0.030%
$2.01
2d
3
Anthony Edwards
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini National Treasures · psa 9.0
$6,699
26.80×
—
0.030%
$2.01
2d
4
Paolo Banchero
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 10.0
$793
3.17×
—
0.240%
$1.90
12h
5
David Robinson
Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$793
3.17×
—
0.240%
$1.90
1d
6
Michael Jordan
1996-97 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$682
2.73×
—
1.960%
$13.36
6h
7
Tim Duncan
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 10.0
$628
2.51×
—
1.960%
$12.32
9h
8
Anfernee Hardaway
Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$613
2.45×
—
0.240%
$1.47
16h
9
Michael Jordan
Chase
1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$608
2.43×
—
0.240%
$1.46
1d
10
Luka Doncic
Chase
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$563
2.25×
—
0.240%
$1.35
1d
11
Yao Ming
Chase
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$548
2.19×
—
0.240%
$1.32
11h
12
Michael Jordan
1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$532
2.13×
—
1.960%
$10.43
9h
13
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 10.0
$479
1.91×
—
1.960%
$9.38
11h
14
Kon Knueppel
Chase
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$475
1.90×
—
0.240%
$1.14
11h
15
Tracy McGrady
Chase
2004-05 SkyBox E-XL · psa 8.0
$406
1.62×
—
0.240%
$0.97
10h
16
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Topps · psa 10.0
$345
1.38×
—
1.960%
$6.77
7h
17
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$314
1.26×
—
1.960%
$6.15
6h
18
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Fleer Metal · psa 9.0
$263
1.05×
—
1.960%
$5.16
1d
19
Julius Erving
1986-87 Fleer · psa 9.0
$263
1.05×
—
1.960%
$5.16
6h
20
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 9.0
$258
1.03×
—
1.960%
$5.06
13h
21
Larry Bird
1981-82 Topps · psa 8.0
$250
1.00×
—
1.960%
$4.90
6h
22
Stephen Curry
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 9.0
$241
0.96×
—
1.960%
$4.73
7h
23
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Topps · psa 8.0
$239
0.96×
—
1.960%
$4.69
7h
24
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$239
0.95×
—
1.960%
$4.67
7h
25
LeBron James
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$237
0.95×
—
1.960%
$4.65
1d
26
Luka Doncic
No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$237
0.95×
—
1.960%
$4.65
4h
27
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$237
0.95×
—
1.960%
$4.64
7h
28
Cade Cunningham
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$228
0.91×
—
1.960%
$4.47
10h
29
Russell Westbrook
No Market Comps Found
2014-15 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$228
0.91×
—
1.960%
$4.47
3h
30
Bam Adebayo
2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$217
0.87×
—
1.960%
$4.25
10h
31
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck LeBron James · psa 10.0
$216
0.86×
—
1.960%
$4.23
6h
32
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$214
0.86×
—
1.960%
$4.19
7h
33
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck Rookie Exclusives · psa 9.0
$209
0.84×
—
1.960%
$4.10
7h
34
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck Rookie Exclusives · psa 9.0
$209
0.84×
—
1.960%
$4.10
11h
35
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$209
0.83×
—
1.960%
$4.09
10h
36
Luka Doncic
2024-25 Panini Instant NBA · beckett 10.0
$209
0.83×
—
1.960%
$4.09
7h
37
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$209
0.83×
—
1.960%
$4.09
7h
38
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Upper Deck Ovation · psa 9.0
$204
0.81×
—
1.960%
$3.99
8h
39
Kobe Bryant
2006-07 Topps · psa 10.0
$197
0.79×
—
1.960%
$3.86
7h
40
Nikola Jokic
2016-17 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$189
0.76×
—
1.960%
$3.70
7h
41
Kobe Bryant
1998-99 Flair Showcase · psa 8.0
$185
0.74×
—
1.960%
$3.63
6h
42
Stephen Curry
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$183
0.73×
—
1.960%
$3.60
6h
43
Stephen Curry
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$179
0.72×
—
1.960%
$3.52
6h
44
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Bowman’s Best · psa 9.0
$172
0.69×
—
1.960%
$3.36
8h
45
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$169
0.68×
—
1.960%
$3.32
10h
46
Michael Jordan
1992-93 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$169
0.68×
—
1.960%
$3.31
5h
47
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 9.0
$168
0.67×
—
1.960%
$3.30
8h
48
Michael Jordan
2009-10 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Legacy Collection Hall of Fame Edition · psa 10.0
$155
0.62×
—
1.960%
$3.03
11h
49
Jalen Johnson
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$154
0.62×
—
1.960%
$3.02
8h
50
Cade Cunningham
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$151
0.61×
—
1.960%
$2.97
7h
51
Amen Thompson
2023-24 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$150
0.60×
—
1.960%
$2.94
6h
52
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$148
0.59×
—
1.960%
$2.90
9h
53
Cade Cunningham
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$144
0.58×
—
1.960%
$2.83
10h
54
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$141
0.56×
—
1.960%
$2.76
7h
55
Magic Johnson
1981-82 Topps · psa 8.0
$138
0.55×
—
1.960%
$2.70
12h
56
Jaylen Brown
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$126
0.50×
—
1.960%
$2.47
8h
57
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$114
0.46×
—
1.960%
$2.24
10h
58
Nikola Jokic
2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$102
0.41×
—
1.960%
$2.00
9h
59
Giannis Antetokounmpo
No Market Comps Found
2013-14 Panini Select · beckett 9.5
$102
0.41×
—
1.960%
$2.00
6h
60
Evan Mobley
2021-22 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
10h
61
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Threads · psa 10.0
$62
0.25×
—
1.960%
$1.22
6h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$237.61
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