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Basketball
Gold $100 WARM
Peak 7d
-0.4%
8h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
35.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -23.7% to -0.4%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$79
0.79× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 67% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Victor Wembanyama
Grail
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$3,500
35.00×
—
0.020%
$0.70
5d
2
Luka Doncic
Grail
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$3,500
35.00×
—
0.020%
$0.70
1d
3
Cade Cunningham
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$3,000
30.00×
—
0.020%
$0.60
14d
4
Larry Bird
Chase
2024-25 Panini Court Kings · psa 9.0
$429
4.29×
—
0.250%
$1.07
1d
5
Nikola Jokic
Chase
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$420
4.20×
—
0.250%
$1.05
1d
6
Anthony Edwards
Chase
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$350
3.50×
—
0.250%
$0.88
8h
7
Tracy McGrady
Chase
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$314
3.14×
—
0.250%
$0.79
8h
8
Anthony Edwards
Chase
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$271
2.71×
—
0.250%
$0.68
8h
9
Luka Doncic
Chase
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$266
2.66×
—
0.250%
$0.67
1d
10
Tony Parker
Chase
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2012-13 Panini Flawless · psa 9.0
$266
2.66×
—
0.250%
$0.67
1d
11
Nikola Jokic
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$266
2.66×
—
0.250%
$0.67
6h
12
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Fleer Metal · psa 8.0
$169
1.69×
—
1.960%
$3.32
8h
13
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 8.0
$166
1.66×
—
1.960%
$3.25
7h
14
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 10.0
$156
1.56×
—
1.960%
$3.06
6h
15
Latrell Sprewell
1995-96 Flair · psa 9.0
$152
1.52×
—
1.960%
$2.98
6h
16
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$136
1.36×
—
1.960%
$2.66
6h
17
Michael Jordan
2002-03 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0
$127
1.27×
—
1.960%
$2.49
6h
18
Stephen Curry
2023-24 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$125
1.25×
—
1.960%
$2.45
7h
19
Kobe Bryant
1998-99 Fleer Tradition · psa 8.0
$112
1.12×
—
1.960%
$2.19
6h
20
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$111
1.11×
—
1.960%
$2.17
6h
21
Magic Johnson
2014-15 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.960%
$2.16
6h
22
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Upper Deck Encore · psa 8.0
$109
1.09×
—
1.960%
$2.14
7h
23
Stephen Curry
2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$107
1.07×
—
1.960%
$2.10
6h
24
Michael Jordan
1990-91 Fleer · psa 9.0
$107
1.07×
—
1.960%
$2.09
6h
25
Kevin Durant
2007-08 Topps · psa 9.0
$105
1.05×
—
1.960%
$2.06
6h
26
Kobe Bryant
2017-18 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$102
1.02×
—
1.960%
$2.00
6h
27
VJ Edgecombe
2025 Panini National Convention Gold Packs · psa 10.0
$101
1.01×
—
1.960%
$1.98
7h
28
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 8.0
$97
0.97×
—
1.960%
$1.90
10h
29
Victor Wembanyama
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$96
0.96×
—
1.960%
$1.89
8h
30
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 NBA Hoops · psa 8.0
$95
0.95×
—
1.960%
$1.87
6h
31
Kobe Bryant
2012-13 Panini Kobe Anthology · psa 10.0
$95
0.95×
—
1.960%
$1.86
6h
32
Kel’el Ware
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$95
0.95×
—
1.960%
$1.86
6h
33
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$94
0.94×
—
1.960%
$1.85
6h
34
Ace Bailey
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$85
0.85×
—
1.960%
$1.67
7h
35
Paolo Banchero
2022-23 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$83
0.83×
—
1.960%
$1.63
7h
36
Stephon Castle
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$79
0.79×
—
1.960%
$1.55
2h
37
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Upper Deck HoloGrFX · psa 8.0
$76
0.76×
—
1.960%
$1.49
6h
38
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$72
0.71×
—
1.960%
$1.40
7h
39
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.960%
$1.29
10h
40
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 SP · psa 8.0
$64
0.64×
—
1.960%
$1.25
6h
41
Nikola Jokic
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.960%
$1.18
6h
42
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$58
0.58×
—
1.960%
$1.14
7h
43
Hakeem Olajuwon
1991-92 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$58
0.58×
—
1.960%
$1.14
6h
44
Scottie Pippen
1999-00 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$55
0.55×
—
1.960%
$1.08
6h
45
De'Aaron Fox
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.960%
$1.04
7h
46
Ja Morant
2019-20 Panini Court Kings · psa 10.0
$52
0.52×
—
1.960%
$1.01
6h
47
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Upper Deck Collector's Choice · psa 8.0
$51
0.51×
—
1.960%
$1.00
6h
48
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Tribute · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.960%
$0.98
6h
49
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.960%
$0.98
6h
50
Paolo Banchero
2022-23 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.960%
$0.92
8h
51
Chet Holmgren
2022-23 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$45
0.45×
—
1.960%
$0.88
6h
52
Chet Holmgren
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$45
0.45×
—
1.960%
$0.88
8h
53
Dirk Nowitzki
2005-06 Topps · psa 9.0
$43
0.43×
—
1.960%
$0.84
6h
54
Jalen Green
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.960%
$0.83
6h
55
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Fleer · psa 9.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.960%
$0.83
6h
56
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Tribute · psa 9.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.960%
$0.83
7h
57
Billy Cunningham
1973-74 Topps · psa 8.0
$41
0.41×
—
1.960%
$0.80
6h
58
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Instant NBA · psa 9.0
$39
0.39×
—
1.960%
$0.77
6h
59
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$37
0.37×
—
1.960%
$0.73
6h
60
Jalen Green
2021-22 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$32
0.32×
—
1.960%
$0.63
7h
61
Kawhi Leonard
2018-19 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$9
0.09×
—
1.960%
$0.18
6h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$87.71
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