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Basketball

Gold $100 WARM

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-10.7%

Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

-0.4%

9h ago

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

35.0×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -23.7% to -0.4%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

2.06%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.060%

grail odds

Median pull

$74

0.74× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

You're underwater on 67% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

↓

Michael Jordan · 1991-92 Upper Deck · PSA 9 pulled

15m 52s ago

$126

◆

Kobe Bryant · 1997-98 Skybox E-X 2001 · PSA 9 pulled

15m 52s ago

$364

↓

Kon Knueppel · 2025-26 Topps Chrome · PSA 9 pulled

15m 52s ago

$63

↑

Nikola Jokic · 2020-21 Panini Donruss Optic · PSA 10 added

15m 52s ago

$232

Live activity is Pro

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▼

Card

Set · grade

Value ▼

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Victor Wembanyama Grail

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$3,500

35.00×

—

0.020%

$0.70

Luka Doncic Grail Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$3,500

35.00×

—

0.020%

$0.70

Cade Cunningham Grail

2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0

$3,000

30.00×

—

0.020%

$0.60

14d

Larry Bird Chase

2024-25 Panini Court Kings · psa 9.0

$429

4.29×

—

0.250%

$1.07

Tracy McGrady Chase

2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$314

3.14×

—

0.250%

$0.79

Cade Cunningham Chase

2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0

$292

2.92×

—

0.250%

$0.73

Nikola Jokic Chase No Market Comps Found

2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$292

2.92×

—

0.250%

$0.73

Anthony Edwards Chase

2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0

$271

2.71×

—

0.250%

$0.68

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Chase Pop 1

2025-26 Bowman · psa 9.0

$266

2.66×

—

0.250%

$0.67

Luka Doncic Chase

2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$266

2.66×

—

0.250%

$0.67

Tony Parker Chase Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2012-13 Panini Flawless · psa 9.0

$266

2.66×

—

0.250%

$0.67

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 SP · psa 9.0

$182

1.82×

—

1.960%

$3.56

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 Upper Deck SP · psa 9.0

$175

1.75×

—

1.960%

$3.44

Anthony Edwards

2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$152

1.52×

—

1.960%

$2.98

Latrell Sprewell

1995-96 Flair · psa 9.0

$152

1.52×

—

1.960%

$2.98

Michael Jordan

1996-97 Bowman’s Best · psa 9.0

$152

1.52×

—

1.960%

$2.98

Luka Doncic

2023-24 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0

$142

1.42×

—

1.960%

$2.78

Ausar Thompson

2023-24 Panini Select · beckett 8.5

$142

1.42×

—

1.960%

$2.78

Magic Johnson Pop 1

2023-24 Panini Spectra · psa 10.0

$122

1.22×

—

1.960%

$2.39

Victor Wembanyama

2023-24 Panini Instant NBA · psa 10.0

$108

1.08×

—

1.960%

$2.12

Michael Jordan

1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 8.0

$108

1.08×

—

1.960%

$2.12

Kobe Bryant

1998-99 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$108

1.08×

—

1.960%

$2.12

David Robinson

1994-95 SkyBox E-Motion · psa 9.0

$104

1.04×

—

1.960%

$2.04

VJ Edgecombe

2025-26 Topps Now · beckett 10.0

$103

1.03×

—

1.960%

$2.02

Michael Jordan

2008-09 Upper Deck All-Star Game · psa 8.0

$103

1.03×

—

1.960%

$2.02

Donovan Mitchell Pop 1

2024-25 Topps Finest · psa 9.0

$103

1.03×

—

1.960%

$2.02

VJ Edgecombe

2025 Panini National Convention Gold Packs · psa 10.0

$101

1.01×

—

1.960%

$1.98

Victor Wembanyama

2023-24 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0

$98

0.98×

—

1.960%

$1.93

Cooper Flagg

2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0

$98

0.98×

—

1.960%

$1.93

Michael Jordan

1990-91 Fleer · psa 9.0

$98

0.98×

—

1.960%

$1.93

Jalen Green

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$92

0.92×

—

1.960%

$1.80

Steph Curry

2024 Topps Now Olympics · psa 9.0

$84

0.84×

—

1.960%

$1.65

Michael Jordan

1991-92 Fleer · psa 9.0

$78

0.78×

—

1.960%

$1.53

LaMelo Ball

2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$76

0.76×

—

1.960%

$1.49

Kobe Bryant/Reggie Miller

2000-01 Topps · psa 9.0

$75

0.75×

—

1.960%

$1.47

Kobe Bryant

1997-98 Topps · psa 9.0

$74

0.74×

—

1.960%

$1.45

LeBron James

2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$72

0.71×

—

1.960%

$1.40

Tyrese Haliburton

2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$67

0.67×

—

1.960%

$1.31

Kevin Durant

2006 Topps McDonald's · psa 10.0

$67

0.67×

—

1.960%

$1.31

LeBron James

2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$65

0.65×

—

1.960%

$1.28

Jrue Holiday

2009-10 Panini Certified · psa 9.0

$65

0.65×

—

1.960%

$1.28

Michael Jordan

1998-99 UD Choice Preview · psa 9.0

$61

0.61×

—

1.960%

$1.20

Rob Dillingham

2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$61

0.61×

—

1.960%

$1.20

Nikola Jokic

2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$60

0.60×

—

1.960%

$1.18

Victor Wembanyama

2023-24 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0

$60

0.60×

—

1.960%

$1.17

LeBron James

2024 Topps Now Olympics · psa 10.0

$59

0.59×

—

1.960%

$1.16

Bilal Coulibaly

2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$58

0.58×

—

1.960%

$1.14

Chicago Bulls

1991-92 Skybox · psa 10.0

$53

0.53×

—

1.960%

$1.04

De'Aaron Fox

2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$53

0.53×

—

1.960%

$1.04

Kobe Bryant

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$52

0.52×

—

1.960%

$1.02

Michael Jordan

1991-92 Upper Deck · psa 9.0

$47

0.47×

—

1.960%

$0.93

Donovan Mitchell

2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$46

0.46×

—

1.960%

$0.91

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 SP · psa 7.0

$46

0.46×

—

1.960%

$0.90

Chet Holmgren

2022-23 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$45

0.45×

—

1.960%

$0.88

Luka Doncic

2018-19 Panini Chronicles · psa 9.0

$44

0.44×

—

1.960%

$0.86

Dirk Nowitzki

2005-06 Topps · psa 9.0

$43

0.43×

—

1.960%

$0.84

Immanuel Quickley Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2020-21 Panini Certified · psa 10.0

$40

0.40×

—

1.960%

$0.78

Akeem Olajuwon

1986-87 Fleer · psa 5.0

$40

0.40×

—

1.960%

$0.78

Scottie Pippen

1992-93 Fleer · psa 10.0

$40

0.40×

—

1.960%

$0.78

Anthony Edwards

2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0

$37

0.37×

—

1.960%

$0.73

John Long/Magic Johnson/Ron Boone

1980-81 Topps · psa 7.0

$36

0.36×

—

1.960%

$0.72

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$89.34

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