Should I Rip? Sign up free →
You're viewing the public snapshot — data is 6 hours behind. Create a free account for the 1-hour view plus save & track — Pro unlocks live data + Rip Mode.
Sign up free →

Crown Jewel

Special Series $5000
Track your own pulls. Sign in and link your Arena Club handle to see your hits from this pack.
Sign in →
EV
-18.2%
Snapshot from 12d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
15.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -28.6% to -17.3%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
0.15%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.050%
grail odds
Median pull
$3,756
0.75× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
Upgrade to Pro →
Pool composition
You're underwater on 82% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $5000 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Crown Jewel · Special Series · $5000 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 7.50% chance .35-.55 8% .55-.75× pack price — 42.50% chance .55-.75 43% .75-.9× pack price — 17.50% chance .75-.9 18% .9-1× pack price — 15.00% chance .9-1 15% 1-1.25× pack price — 15.00% chance 1-1.25 15% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 2.50% chance 1.25-1.75 2% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 0.00% chance 1.75-2.5 0% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.00% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.100% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.050% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.00% chance >25 0% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 15× as of Aug 17, 2026 · 3:32 PM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Joe Burrow · 2025 Donruss Optic pulled
12d ago
$3,519
Kevin Durant · 2017-18 Panini Cornerstones pulled
12d ago
$3,092
Stephen Curry · 2021-22 Panini Prizm pulled
12d ago
$4,873
Luka Doncic · 2018-19 Panini Contenders Optic pulled
12d ago
$5,432
Live activity is Pro
See pulls and adds as they happen
Upgrade to Pro →

Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

43 cards · sorted by value ▲
1
Elly De La Cruz
2024 Topps Cosmic Chrome · psa 10.0
$2,250
0.45×
2.500%
$56.25
13d
2
Paul Skenes
2024 Topps Gilded Collection · psa 10.0
$2,520
0.50×
2.500%
$63.00
12d
3
Kevin Durant No Market Comps Found
2015-16 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.0
$2,520
0.50×
2.500%
$63.00
13d
4
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$2,838
0.57×
2.500%
$70.95
13d
5
Aaron Judge 1 of 1
2017 Topps Transcendent Collection · psa 9.0
$2,910
0.58×
2.500%
$72.75
12d
6
Peyton Manning Grail No Market Comps Found
2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · beckett 9.5
$2,910
0.58×
2.500%
$72.75
13d
7
Konnor Griffin
2025 Bowman · psa 10.0
$2,973
0.59×
2.500%
$74.33
12d
8
Aaron Judge
2017 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$3,000
0.60×
2.500%
$75.00
12d
9
Josh Allen
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$3,046
0.61×
2.500%
$76.15
12d
10
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$3,151
0.63×
2.500%
$78.79
14d
11
Paul Skenes
2024 Topps Gilded Collection · psa 10.0
$3,204
0.64×
2.500%
$80.10
12d
12
Patrick Mahomes II
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$3,236
0.65×
2.500%
$80.90
14d
13
Tim Duncan No Market Comps Found
2015-16 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.5
$3,519
0.70×
2.500%
$87.98
12d
14
Paul Skenes No Market Comps Found
2024 Bowman Sterling · psa 9.0
$3,519
0.70×
2.500%
$87.98
12d
15
Shohei Ohtani
2021 Topps 1989 Bowman X Keith Shore · psa 9.0
$3,519
0.70×
2.500%
$87.98
13d
16
Jac Caglianone No Market Comps Found
2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$3,519
0.70×
2.500%
$87.98
13d
17
Brett Favre 1 of 1
2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$3,519
0.70×
2.500%
$87.98
13d
18
Tom Brady No Market Comps Found
2003 Topps Finest · beckett 9.5
$3,519
0.70×
2.500%
$87.98
13d
19
Lamar Jackson No Market Comps Found
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$3,519
0.70×
2.500%
$87.98
12d
20
Luka Doncic
2020-21 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$3,519
0.70×
2.500%
$87.98
12d
21
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$3,756
0.75×
2.500%
$93.89
12d
22
Paul Skenes
2024 Panini Three and Two · psa 10.0
$4,085
0.82×
2.500%
$102.13
13d
23
Nick Kurtz
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$4,087
0.82×
2.500%
$102.17
12d
24
Tom Brady
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$4,138
0.83×
2.500%
$103.46
12d
25
Jerry Rice
1986 Topps · psa 9.0
$4,186
0.84×
2.500%
$104.64
13d
26
Nikola Jokic
2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$4,259
0.85×
2.500%
$106.48
15d
27
Aaron Judge
2026 Bowman · psa 10.0
$4,400
0.88×
2.500%
$110.00
14d
28
Paul Skenes
2024 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$4,558
0.91×
2.500%
$113.95
13d
29
Travis Kelce/Patrick Mahomes II
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$4,677
0.94×
2.500%
$116.94
12d
30
Justin Jefferson
2020 Panini National Treasures · psa 9.0
$4,722
0.94×
2.500%
$118.05
13d
31
Nikola Jokic
2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$4,802
0.96×
2.500%
$120.05
13d
32
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$4,843
0.97×
2.500%
$121.07
12d
33
Troy Aikman
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$4,914
0.98×
2.500%
$122.84
12d
34
Carmelo Anthony
2015-16 Panini Excalibur · psa 10.0
$5,080
1.02×
2.500%
$127.00
12d
35
Stephen Curry
2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 10.0
$5,084
1.02×
2.500%
$127.09
13d
36
Aaron Judge
2017 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$5,500
1.10×
2.500%
$137.50
13d
37
Jalen Brunson
2024-25 Panini One and One · psa 10.0
$5,574
1.11×
2.500%
$139.34
12d
38
Joe Montana
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$5,600
1.12×
2.500%
$140.00
12d
39
Bobby Witt Jr.
2022 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$5,727
1.15×
2.500%
$143.18
12d
40
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$7,674
1.53×
2.500%
$191.85
12d
41
Tom Brady Grail
2016 Panini National Treasures · beckett 8.5
$43,000
8.60×
0.050%
$21.50
15d
42
Anthony Edwards Grail
2024-25 Panini Flawless · psa 10.0
$43,920
8.78×
0.050%
$21.96
43
Aaron Judge Grail
2013 Bowman Draft Picks & Prospects · beckett 9.5
$75,000
15.00×
0.050%
$37.50
15d
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$4090.35
View Crown Jewel Special Series on Arena Club → Opens Arena Club in a new tab · we're independent and earn nothing from your click