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Basketball

Ruby $250 WARM

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-15.2%

Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

-1.9%

1d ago

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

35.0×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -21.3% to -1.9%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

3.49%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.090%

grail odds

Median pull

$186

0.74× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

You're underwater on 78% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $250 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

↓

Luka Doncic · 2023-24 Panini Mosaic · PSA 10 pulled

30m 19s ago

$181

↑

Jalen Johnson · 2021-22 Panini Prizm · PSA 9 added

30m 19s ago

$170

↓

Evan Mobley · 2021-22 Panini Donruss · PSA 10 pulled

46m 19s ago

$100

↑

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar · 1975-76 Topps · PSA 7 added

46m 19s ago

$169

Live activity is Pro

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▲

Card

Set · grade

Value ▲

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Luka Doncic

2018-19 Panini Threads · psa 10.0

$62

0.25×

—

1.960%

$1.22

Michael Jordan

1991-92 Hoops Dealer Promo Prototypes · psa 8.0

$62

0.25×

—

1.960%

$1.22

Stephen Curry

2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$91

0.36×

—

1.960%

$1.78

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$98

0.39×

—

1.960%

$1.92

Michael Jordan

1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 9.0

$100

0.40×

—

1.960%

$1.96

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 Bowman’s Best · psa 8.0

$100

0.40×

—

1.960%

$1.96

Dennis Rodman

2021-22 Crown Royale · psa 9.0

$100

0.40×

—

1.960%

$1.96

Michael Jordan

1996-97 Flair Showcase · psa 8.0

$100

0.40×

—

1.960%

$1.96

Michael Jordan

1994-95 Skybox E-Motion · psa 9.0

$100

0.40×

—

1.960%

$1.96

Giannis Antetokounmpo No Market Comps Found

2013-14 Panini Select · beckett 9.5

$100

0.40×

—

1.960%

$1.96

Evan Mobley

2021-22 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$100

0.40×

—

1.960%

$1.96

11h

Nikola Jokic

2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$102

0.41×

—

1.960%

$2.00

10h

Luka Doncic

2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$125

0.50×

—

1.960%

$2.45

Kobe Bryant

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$131

0.52×

—

1.960%

$2.57

Jamal Murray Pop 1

2021-22 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$134

0.54×

—

1.960%

$2.63

Magic Johnson

1981-82 Topps · psa 8.0

$138

0.55×

—

1.960%

$2.70

13h

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0

$148

0.59×

—

1.960%

$2.90

10h

Amen Thompson

2023-24 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0

$150

0.60×

—

1.960%

$2.94

Cade Cunningham

2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0

$151

0.61×

—

1.960%

$2.97

Michael Jordan

1992-93 Upper Deck MVP Holograms · psa 8.0

$152

0.61×

—

1.960%

$2.98

Michael Jordan

1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 9.0

$168

0.67×

—

1.960%

$3.30

Giannis Antetokounmpo

2013-14 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0

$169

0.68×

—

1.960%

$3.32

11h

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$171

0.68×

—

1.960%

$3.35

Michael Jordan

1996-97 Bowman’s Best · psa 9.0

$172

0.69×

—

1.960%

$3.36

Luka Doncic

2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$181

0.72×

—

1.960%

$3.55

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 Topps · psa 8.0

$186

0.74×

—

1.960%

$3.64

Michael Jordan

2001-02 Upper Deck Honor Roll · psa 10.0

$186

0.74×

—

1.960%

$3.65

Nikola Jokic

2016-17 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$189

0.76×

—

1.960%

$3.70

Michael Jordan

1998-99 Upper Deck Ovation · psa 9.0

$204

0.81×

—

1.960%

$3.99

Luka Doncic

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$209

0.83×

—

1.960%

$4.09

LeBron James

2003-04 Upper Deck Rookie Exclusives · psa 9.0

$209

0.84×

—

1.960%

$4.10

LeBron James

2003-04 Upper Deck Rookie Exclusives · psa 9.0

$209

0.84×

—

1.960%

$4.10

12h

Michael Jordan

2007-08 Fleer · psa 8.0

$210

0.84×

—

1.960%

$4.12

LeBron James

2003-04 Upper Deck LeBron James · psa 10.0

$216

0.86×

—

1.960%

$4.23

Bam Adebayo

2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$217

0.87×

—

1.960%

$4.25

11h

Cade Cunningham

2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$228

0.91×

—

1.960%

$4.47

11h

Shaquille O'Neal

1992-93 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0

$232

0.93×

—

1.960%

$4.56

Michael Jordan

1991-92 Upper Deck · psa 9.0

$237

0.95×

—

1.960%

$4.64

Michael Jordan

1991 U.D. Award Winner · psa 9.0

$237

0.95×

—

1.960%

$4.64

Michael Jordan

1995-96 Topps · psa 8.0

$239

0.96×

—

1.960%

$4.69

Larry Bird

1981-82 Topps · psa 8.0

$250

1.00×

—

1.960%

$4.90

Julius Erving

1986-87 Fleer · psa 9.0

$263

1.05×

—

1.960%

$5.16

Michael Jordan

1995-96 Fleer Metal · psa 9.0

$263

1.05×

—

1.960%

$5.16

Victor Wembanyama

2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$298

1.19×

—

1.960%

$5.84

Michael Jordan

1996-97 Topps Finest · psa 9.0

$314

1.26×

—

1.960%

$6.15

Michael Jordan

1993-94 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0

$320

1.28×

—

1.960%

$6.27

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 Topps Chrome · beckett 8.5

$406

1.62×

—

1.960%

$7.96

Tracy McGrady Chase

2004-05 SkyBox E-XL · psa 8.0

$406

1.62×

—

0.240%

$0.97

11h

Stephen Curry

2009-10 Panini Studio · psa 9.0

$456

1.83×

—

1.960%

$8.95

Kon Knueppel Chase

2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0

$475

1.90×

—

0.240%

$1.14

12h

Kobe Bryant

1997-98 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 10.0

$479

1.91×

—

1.960%

$9.38

11h

Michael Jordan

1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0

$532

2.13×

—

1.960%

$10.43

10h

Yao Ming Chase

2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$548

2.19×

—

0.240%

$1.32

11h

Luka Doncic Chase

2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$563

2.25×

—

0.240%

$1.35

Michael Jordan Chase

1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0

$608

2.43×

—

0.240%

$1.46

Anfernee Hardaway Chase

2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0

$613

2.45×

—

0.240%

$1.47

17h

Paolo Banchero Chase No Market Comps Found

2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 10.0

$793

3.17×

—

0.240%

$1.90

12h

David Robinson Chase

2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0

$793

3.17×

—

0.240%

$1.90

Nikola Jokic Grail

2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0

$6,699

26.80×

—

0.030%

$2.01

Anthony Edwards Grail No Market Comps Found

2024-25 Panini National Treasures · psa 9.0

$6,699

26.80×

—

0.030%

$2.01

Stephen Curry Grail

2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · psa 9.0

$8,761

35.05×

—

0.030%

$2.63

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$212.12

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