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Basketball
Gold $100 WARM
Peak 7d
-0.4%
9h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
35.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -23.7% to -0.4%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$74
0.74× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 67% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
John Long/Magic Johnson/Ron Boone
1980-81 Topps · psa 7.0
$36
0.36×
—
1.960%
$0.72
6h
2
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$37
0.37×
—
1.960%
$0.73
6h
3
Immanuel Quickley
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2020-21 Panini Certified · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
6h
4
Akeem Olajuwon
1986-87 Fleer · psa 5.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
6h
5
Scottie Pippen
1992-93 Fleer · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
6h
6
Dirk Nowitzki
2005-06 Topps · psa 9.0
$43
0.43×
—
1.960%
$0.84
7h
7
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Chronicles · psa 9.0
$44
0.44×
—
1.960%
$0.86
6h
8
Chet Holmgren
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$45
0.45×
—
1.960%
$0.88
9h
9
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 SP · psa 7.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.960%
$0.90
6h
10
Donovan Mitchell
2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.960%
$0.91
6h
11
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.960%
$0.93
6h
12
Kobe Bryant
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$52
0.52×
—
1.960%
$1.02
6h
13
Chicago Bulls
1991-92 Skybox · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.960%
$1.04
6h
14
De'Aaron Fox
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.960%
$1.04
7h
15
Bilal Coulibaly
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$58
0.58×
—
1.960%
$1.14
6h
16
LeBron James
2024 Topps Now Olympics · psa 10.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.960%
$1.16
6h
17
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.960%
$1.17
6h
18
Nikola Jokic
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.960%
$1.18
7h
19
Rob Dillingham
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.960%
$1.20
3h
20
Michael Jordan
1998-99 UD Choice Preview · psa 9.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.960%
$1.20
6h
21
Jrue Holiday
2009-10 Panini Certified · psa 9.0
$65
0.65×
—
1.960%
$1.28
6h
22
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$65
0.65×
—
1.960%
$1.28
6h
23
Tyrese Haliburton
2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$67
0.67×
—
1.960%
$1.31
6h
24
Kevin Durant
2006 Topps McDonald's · psa 10.0
$67
0.67×
—
1.960%
$1.31
6h
25
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$72
0.71×
—
1.960%
$1.40
8h
26
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Topps · psa 9.0
$74
0.74×
—
1.960%
$1.45
6h
27
Kobe Bryant/Reggie Miller
2000-01 Topps · psa 9.0
$75
0.75×
—
1.960%
$1.47
6h
28
LaMelo Ball
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$76
0.76×
—
1.960%
$1.49
6h
29
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Fleer · psa 9.0
$78
0.78×
—
1.960%
$1.53
6h
30
Steph Curry
2024 Topps Now Olympics · psa 9.0
$84
0.84×
—
1.960%
$1.65
6h
31
Jalen Green
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$92
0.92×
—
1.960%
$1.80
6h
32
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$98
0.98×
—
1.960%
$1.93
6h
33
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$98
0.98×
—
1.960%
$1.93
6h
34
Michael Jordan
1990-91 Fleer · psa 9.0
$98
0.98×
—
1.960%
$1.93
6h
35
VJ Edgecombe
2025 Panini National Convention Gold Packs · psa 10.0
$101
1.01×
—
1.960%
$1.98
8h
36
VJ Edgecombe
2025-26 Topps Now · beckett 10.0
$103
1.03×
—
1.960%
$2.02
6h
37
Michael Jordan
2008-09 Upper Deck All-Star Game · psa 8.0
$103
1.03×
—
1.960%
$2.02
6h
38
Donovan Mitchell
Pop 1
2024-25 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$103
1.03×
—
1.960%
$2.02
6h
39
David Robinson
1994-95 SkyBox E-Motion · psa 9.0
$104
1.04×
—
1.960%
$2.04
6h
40
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Instant NBA · psa 10.0
$108
1.08×
—
1.960%
$2.12
6h
41
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 8.0
$108
1.08×
—
1.960%
$2.12
6h
42
Kobe Bryant
1998-99 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$108
1.08×
—
1.960%
$2.12
6h
43
Magic Johnson
Pop 1
2023-24 Panini Spectra · psa 10.0
$122
1.22×
—
1.960%
$2.39
6h
44
Luka Doncic
2023-24 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0
$142
1.42×
—
1.960%
$2.78
6h
45
Ausar Thompson
2023-24 Panini Select · beckett 8.5
$142
1.42×
—
1.960%
$2.78
6h
46
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$152
1.52×
—
1.960%
$2.98
6h
47
Latrell Sprewell
1995-96 Flair · psa 9.0
$152
1.52×
—
1.960%
$2.98
7h
48
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Bowman’s Best · psa 9.0
$152
1.52×
—
1.960%
$2.98
6h
49
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Upper Deck SP · psa 9.0
$175
1.75×
—
1.960%
$3.44
6h
50
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 SP · psa 9.0
$182
1.82×
—
1.960%
$3.56
6h
51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Chase
Pop 1
2025-26 Bowman · psa 9.0
$266
2.66×
—
0.250%
$0.67
6h
52
Luka Doncic
Chase
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$266
2.66×
—
0.250%
$0.67
1d
53
Tony Parker
Chase
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2012-13 Panini Flawless · psa 9.0
$266
2.66×
—
0.250%
$0.67
1d
54
Anthony Edwards
Chase
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$271
2.71×
—
0.250%
$0.68
9h
55
Cade Cunningham
Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$292
2.92×
—
0.250%
$0.73
6h
56
Nikola Jokic
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$292
2.92×
—
0.250%
$0.73
7h
57
Tracy McGrady
Chase
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$314
3.14×
—
0.250%
$0.79
9h
58
Larry Bird
Chase
2024-25 Panini Court Kings · psa 9.0
$429
4.29×
—
0.250%
$1.07
1d
59
Cade Cunningham
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$3,000
30.00×
—
0.020%
$0.60
14d
60
Victor Wembanyama
Grail
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$3,500
35.00×
—
0.020%
$0.70
5d
61
Luka Doncic
Grail
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$3,500
35.00×
—
0.020%
$0.70
1d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$89.34
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